岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告 ISSN 2187-6940
Published by Faculty of Environmental Science and Technology, Okayama University

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石垣島におけるマラリア流行解析のための統計モデリング

Ueki, Masao
Nakagawa, Yuuki
Abstract
It is necessary to consider a stochastic variability in modeling malaria epidemic behavior since the malaria infection cycle essentially depends on stochastic elements. For this requirement, we need to construct an appropriate statistical model from available data in advance. In this report, we provide some statistical models for the analysis of malaria epidemic behavior at Ishigaki Island. These models can be used for recurrence of past malaria epidemic and prediction of future malaria epidemic at Ishigaki Island.
Keywords
Anopheles minimus,
generalized liner model
Ishigaki Island
malaria epidemic behavior
prediction
stochastic model
Note
本研究は,厚生労働科学研究費「新興・再興感染症の研究」(Grant no. H17-Sinko-ippan-019)の補助を受けて行った.
ISSN
1341-9099
NCID
AN10529213